Alzano Virescit vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
USA
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ABN
0 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ALV
3 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 1
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 1
BRE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 3
ASL
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 1
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |