Alzano Virescit vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 1
ALV
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
TRI
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 2
LIV
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ASL
5 - 1
ALV
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
REG
2 - 0
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
REG
3 - 2
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 2
REG
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |