Alzano Virescit vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
COM
2 - 1
ALV
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 2
ARZ
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 0
ALV
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 3
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
REG
2 - 3
USA
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
SPE
0 - 2
REG
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
REG
2 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2000 |
MOD
2 - 0
REG
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |