Alzano Virescit vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
TRE
5 - 0
ALV
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 2
CES
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 1
ALV
47%
27%
25%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 0
ALV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 1
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ACL
4 - 3
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 4
ACL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 2
CES
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |