Alzano Virescit vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 1
ALV
47%
27%
25%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 0
ALV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 1
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
ASS
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CES
3 - 0
ARZ
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 2
CES
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CES
0 - 1
TRE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |