Alzano Virescit vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
CAR
3 - 4
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 0
LIV
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
REG
0 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 2
COM
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ALV
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
TRE
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARZ
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ARZ
2 - 2
GEN
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ACL
3 - 3
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |