Alzano Virescit vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 0
ALV
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 3
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 1
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CES
0 - 0
ALV
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
ARZ
2 - 1
COM
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
ARZ
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
USA
1 - 2
ARZ
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ARZ
4 - 1
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |