Always Ready vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
48
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Always Ready
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
IND
3 - 7
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
REA
5 - 2
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 1
REA
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
DGV
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 1
AUR
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 3
ROY
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JWI
1 - 3
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |