Always Ready vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Always Ready
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
REA
3 - 0
BLO
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 1
REA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
REA
3 - 3
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 3
BOL
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
DES
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |