FC Alverca vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALV
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
SIN
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALV
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
UDL
17%
23%
61%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 1
ANA
19%
24%
58%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 4
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
UDL
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ANA
2 - 1
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALC
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |