Segunda Liga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 0-2
FC Alverca vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 1
FEL
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 0
ALV
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALV
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 1
SPC
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 1
RIO
17%
26%
57%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
SPC
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
LEX
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |