FC Alverca vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
ALV
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
FEI
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
ALV
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALV
3 - 0
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 2
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 2
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAS
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
RIO
9%
18%
73%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |