FC Alverca vs Pêro Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
3º
13
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALV
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 2
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
ALV
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 3
MAF
12%
19%
69%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
ALV
0 - 2
ALN
6%
14%
80%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
1DE
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PER
0 - 4
SPC
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 0
PER
36%
29%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |