FC Alverca vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FAB
0 - 2
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
AMO
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 1
ALV
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALV
4 - 0
LGC
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
ALV
23%
25%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 2
REA
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARM
0 - 0
ORI
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 0
SIN
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALJ
1 - 3
ORI
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ORI
2 - 2
PIN
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |