FC Alverca vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ALV
2 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 2
ALV
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALV
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 0
NAV
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAV
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 0
NAV
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
SAL
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |