FC Alverca vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
4 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
ALV
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 0
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
GFC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |