FC Alverca vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
1DE
0 - 0
ALV
17%
24%
59%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 2
ORI
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FAB
0 - 2
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
AMO
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 1
ALV
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
OLI
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFU
1 - 1
LOU
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
EDL
68%
18%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALJ
1 - 3
LOU
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
REA
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |