FC Alverca vs Juventude Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
3 - 1
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALV
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 1
BMA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2000 |
FCP
6 - 0
ALV
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
5 - 1
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
JUV
1 - 1
GDA
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
JUV
1 - 0
ODI
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
FCB
5 - 1
JUV
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | -4 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 3
FCB
23%
21%
57%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | +3 |