FC Alverca vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VAR
3 - 0
ALV
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
ALV
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
GON
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OLH
3 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 2
OVA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
FEL
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
GON
1 - 0
FEL
40%
27%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 0
OLH
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OVA
0 - 3
FEL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |