FC Alverca vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
80.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
ALV
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
3 - 1
USA
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 2
ALV
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
4 - 1
ANA
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
2 - 3
AMO
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 5
FAM
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 1
VIZ
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
FAM
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
FAM
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 4
FAM
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |