FC Alverca vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
ALV
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ANA
0 - 0
ALV
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 1
SER
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 3
ACV
7%
14%
79%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IRI
3 - 2
ALV
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
GAF
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
27%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |