FC Alverca vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
1º
11
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
ALV
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SCP
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
1DE
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALV
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FEL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 1
ATL
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALV
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |