FC Alverca vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
1º
16
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
ALV
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 1
FEL
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 4
ALV
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
ACA
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
LUS
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
FEL
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |