FC Alverca vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
9º
3º
25
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VST
1 - 1
ALV
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
CAL
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
ALV
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 4
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
ACA
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
TON
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |