Alverca U15 vs Loures U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
1º
1º
10
3º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 0 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FOO
1 - 8
ALV
12%
17%
70%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALV
7 - 1
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 1
CAL
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 4
ALV
7%
13%
80%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
FOO
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Loures U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAL
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 0
FOO
16%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
LOU
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 4
ALV
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
LOU
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |