Alverca U15 vs Loures U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
5º
4º
10
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 4
SCP
6%
13%
81%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 2
ALV
37%
22%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
BNF
8%
15%
77%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 6
ALV
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 2
CAD
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Loures U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
4 - 0
LOU
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAL
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FOO
2 - 1
LOU
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 9
RSC
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
6 - 0
LOU
95%
4%
1%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |