Alverca U15 vs Benfica U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
5º
4º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 6
ALV
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 2
CAD
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOO
3 - 3
ALV
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAN
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
6 - 0
BOR
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAD
0 - 4
BNF
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BNF
4 - 0
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 12
BNF
5%
10%
85%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BNF
4 - 0
SAC
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 4
BNF
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |