Alvechurch FC vs Worksop Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BED
0 - 3
ALV
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
NUN
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NUN
3 - 1
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 3
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Worksop Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
WOR
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
0 - 1
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
WOR
53%
20%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 3
WOR
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 0
SHE
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |