Alvechurch FC vs Coalville Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
KET
1 - 2
ALV
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 1
LEI
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 1
HIT
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 5
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
STI
0 - 2
ALV
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LOW
1 - 2
COA
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
COA
2 - 3
ROY
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
COA
1 - 2
RED
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
STN
1 - 4
COA
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NEE
1 - 1
COA
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |