Alvechurch FC vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
LOW
0 - 4
ALV
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
BIG
1 - 1
ALV
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 2
STR
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
ALV
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALV
0 - 1
SPA
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 3
ROY
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
HIT
2 - 0
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
LOW
1 - 0
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAR
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 2
BAR
29%
23%
47%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |