Santa Cruz de Alvarenga vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
COI
1 - 0
ALV
78%
16%
6%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALV
83%
13%
4%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 2
ALV
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
GON
16%
21%
64%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
GOU
80%
14%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COI
0 - 5
ESP
73%
19%
8%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
FAV
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 2
SAL
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |