Alvarado vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALV
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALV
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
JUU
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
DRO
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |