Alvarado vs Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 2
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 2
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 2
DFR
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 4
CGB
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DFR
3 - 0
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 2
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 0
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |