Alvarado vs Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
DRO
2 - 3
ALV
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
INN
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 1
FER
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
ALV
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 1
ALV
76%
17%
8%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 0
CIP
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 3
TIR
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CGB
0 - 3
TIR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 0
CAI
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 2
DRO
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |