Alvarado vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
ALV
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 2
ALV
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 6
LIB
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
MIT
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
CGB
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
SMA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |