Alvarado vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 0
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
CIP
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALV
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 3
RAO
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
RSA
15%
26%
59%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 2
CAI
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 0
RIV
73%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
JUU
2 - 0
RIV
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
CIP
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |