Alvarado vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 1
ALV
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 1
ALV
59%
23%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
MAI
33%
30%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALV
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
MAI
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
2 - 1
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 1
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
UNI
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |