Alvarado vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ALV
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 0
TFE
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 0
ALV
55%
26%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALV
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 3
TFE
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 3
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
LIB
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 1
LIB
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |