Alvarado vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BOC
6 - 0
ALV
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DFR
0 - 0
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALV
3 - 1
CFE
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CFE
2 - 1
ALV
57%
24%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
INN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
INN
3 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CIP
0 - 1
INN
63%
21%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
INN
1 - 2
DEP
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
INN
1 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |