Alvarado vs Gutiérrez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALV
6 - 0
ALI
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
INN
2 - 1
ALV
40%
27%
32%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 0
IND
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TFE
1 - 2
ALV
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUT
1 - 1
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
9DJ
1 - 0
GUT
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GUT
2 - 0
SLP
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 0
GUT
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GUT
0 - 0
CAI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |