Alvarado vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
ALV
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 2
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
IRV
3 - 2
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GBR
0 - 1
MIT
51%
27%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
GBR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 0
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
GBR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |