Alvarado vs Belgrano Santa Rosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
TIR
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 2
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 2
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano Santa Rosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 4
CGB
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
DFR
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
CGB
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 0
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |