Alvarado vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
ALV
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
QUI
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
AGR
1 - 0
ALV
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
MAI
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 0
ALV
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
TIG
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
AGR
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 0
EST
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
TEM
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |