Alvarado vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 0
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 0
ALV
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 2
BRO
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 1
ALV
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
EST
28%
31%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
RSA
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 2
MOR
29%
30%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
TEM
3 - 1
RSA
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
FLA
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |