Alvarado vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GBR
3 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 1
ALV
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 0
RSA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 0
JUU
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MAI
0 - 0
RSA
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
MAI
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MAI
1 - 1
JUU
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CIP
5 - 0
MAI
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 0
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |