Alvarado vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALV
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
44%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
ALV
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CIP
1 - 1
MAI
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
4 - 2
GBR
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MAI
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 1
DFR
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
MAI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |