Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
ALV
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 0
DRO
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALV
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 1
CIP
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
INN
2 - 2
ALV
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Madryn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CIP
5 - 3
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
INN
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SDM
1 - 0
DEP
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |