Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
ALV
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
CGB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
TIR
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 2
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 2
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
2 - 1
CGB
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 4
DFR
25%
27%
47%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
DFR
31%
30%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 2
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
DFR
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |