Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
CGB
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +3 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GYT
2 - 0
ALV
53%
26%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
GYT
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
DRO
0 - 2
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
DFR
4 - 0
CGB
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
DFR
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 2
EMI
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
EMI
1 - 4
DFR
9%
20%
70%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
DFR
1 - 3
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |