Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSE
0 - 1
ALV
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 0
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
2 - 3
JUU
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
CIP
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
ALV
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DFR
2 - 2
RSA
27%
29%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
DFR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
DES
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
2 - 0
DFR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 2
RAO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |